Apr 23Liked by Ahnaf Ibn Qais, Kenaz Filan, Alf B.
Is it incredible that the Americans cannot produce tomahawks, a now obsolete platform. No, it's financialisation. It costs money to keep a production line and the people, so when the contract ends their employment ends, capital is written down and moved on. Now get this - plans that were from the seventies and eighties were probably dumped because it costs money to create an archive of records. And any computer storage would become obsolete and unreadable if not transferred to newer formats. And these are problems I know something about. Tech goes by that aphorism from the "Gumball Rally". "The first rule of Italian driving - what's behind me is not important".
What we have now (in Qing Dynasty terms) are the Eunuchs scraping off the gold plating on the architecture & running off with their spoils, while everything implodes.
Japan, a US vassal also faces many hurdles, not least its totally financial mismanagement since the 1985 Plaza Accords. Japan has still got some innovation and productive capacity in place but without cheap energy faces the same problems as Germany, another US vassal state. I'm incredulous that Pindos think they can re-industrialise at the expense of their colonies. An exemplar is the TMC plant fiasco in Arizona with cost over runs and staffing problems (Pindos don't like hard work).
So let's say they US pulls up the drawbridge and creates a virtual "iron curtain" around its remaining satellite statelets. To me somewhat the reverse of the USSR with a bunch of suckling colonies depleting its resources, more a cannibal banquet with the US consuming its colonies.
Also, Europe has been under American occupation since 1945. Once we leave, they will regain their will, as it won't be artificially supressed by comprador politicians. If you think some Iranian militia somewhere will deter the French army.... in a France itself...
Europe is occupied by the Empire of Lies precisely because they willingly (through their own volition & agency) chose to give it up long ago.
Nobody will die for War, P***, Usury & Materialism. These are the current pillars of the Modern Western World.
& Nobody will be engaging in Ethnic Cleansing once they realize that the 'society' they built will be decimated by the revenge & reprisal from *actual grassroots resistance forces*.
You are, of course, wrong. Both China and Russia have, in living memory, made war on internal populations in a way far less humane than just deporting illegal migrants and sending those without citizenship back. They don't care, and Iran doesn't have proxies in Europe, nor does it really care.
They will do nothing. Ironically, Europe could follow the Gulf Arab model, which is proven to be the best migration model out there. You think the Arabs will care? Lol. Lmao even.
There are Sub-state Actors from the Khawarij & related groups who would act if (say) a Mass Ethnic Cleansing of France or *insert European 'country' here* goes ahead & is given the stamp of approval.
In such a scenario, I have no doubt in my mind that WMDs would be used in revenge & reprisal once the Ethnic Cleansing commences & the death toll reaches the thousands.
Arab leaders don't have to do anything. They can keep sucking the tit of the CIA whilst Resistanhce forces do the heavy lifting in West Asia & beyond.
You are completely delusional. Deportation of false asylum seekers and illegal immigrants and quotas is how all civilized states act, including in the middle east. Typical Muslim nonsense- thinking that some group will set off a nuke in Paris for expelling all immigrants who got here in say, the last 15 years? Trust me, they wouldn't care a whit, because Europe used to have these same policies, and they didn't care then- and Russia currently has similar ones, and they don't care now.
There is a difference between Deportation & Ethnic Cleansing, one which 'Civilized States' of Today & Yesterday are aware of:
The former can be justified using appeals to International Law & related measures, while the latter cannot be. & even if people think that 'International Law' is a farce (& many do), nations & empires since time immemorial have sought to at least give *lip service* to these things, lest they become Pariahs who are surrounded on all sides & utterly destroyed by their neighbours.
Meanwhile, if you wish to think that Sub-State actors 'would NEVER dare do something like that' (by your tone it seems you are suggesting this)... I will simply tell you 'You are Incorrect, & are seriously underestimating them.'
These 'groups' (& in some cases, cells of 3-7 people) don't care about how Westerners underestimate them. If it comes down to it, they will have no issue with detonating (say) a 2 kiloton Dirty Bomb at the One World Trade Centre, should things deteriorate to the point where (say) American Muslims are being Ethnically Cleansed and thousands have been murdered as a result.
Addendum: 'Trust me' is not an argument. Never was, never will be.
I think the Islamic triumphalism by Ahnaf is both tasteless and baseless.
1. As horrible as the Israelis are, they have first and second strike nuclear capabilities, which means that direct, existential invasions of Israel likely aren't likely to happen. Israel is now learning that it can be conventionally deterred, but that's a long way from being destroyed. And while there are rootless cosmopolitan Israelis with the multiple passports and cash to pick up and leave, there are several million right wing Jews who will not leave, no matter what. The future of Palestinians will ultimately require some sort of negotiated settlement, and that's better for everyone.
2. Defense and deterrence arent the same thing as projecting power. Iran can't really project power, and cheap missiles and drones make anyone projecting power much harder. If the Europeans decide to remigrate all the illegal immigrants and false asylum claimants, there is nothing Iran or any other Muslim country can do about it, and frankly the flood of migrants is unbearable for the EU already. The best they could do would be to use oil prices as a weapon, but we've seen how that backfires with Russian sanctions.
3. The whole point of the multipolar world is allowing countries to set their own internal policies. Russia and China don't care to dictate internal policies in the EU- and Russia itself regularly deports large numbers of migrants. A return of nationalism will be that "they have to go back", or at best a Denmark style immigration regime.
'Israel' cannot use its Jerichos without being turned to glass in response by merely *conventional* capabilities (by Hezbollah & frens). We are not even factoring in Iran at this point for the time being.
Nukes are good defensive weapons against people using Nukes *on you*. They are not good at anything else; and Apartheid South Africa figured that out too late.
Yes, Many will 'stand and fight'... but the same was true for Rhodesia. Ultimately, if even 15-20% of your country flees and your starting population was less than 10 million, that means social implosion. The Islamic resistance know this, & aim for this outcome.
After they get said outcome, the negotiated settlement will be more favourable to the Palestinians inside, as well as outside 'Greater Palestine' (i.e. who number 10+ million).
2. Iran Projects power through Proxies. Deterrance meanwhile (as Scott Ritter and others note) is more about telling someone 'you will pay a price if you fight us'. Operation True Promise achieved the latter whilst the former is a continuous process which is active right now & it is slowly 'bleeding away' the productive forces of the Zionist enemy.
Sub-State actors already possess access to WMDs, so you are incorrect here. The Europeans also have neither the will, nor ability or readiness to do anything *even if* populists gained sufficient power & influence in the coming years.
Ultimately, Europe cannot do anything for the same reason the Baltics cannot 'remigrate' the Russians: They will pay a Heavy Price which will DOOM their societies.
3. Disagree. In the Muslim World, Multipolarity is viewed through the lens of Justice & Sound Exercise of law. Russians, Chinese, Indians & Muslims will not simply sit idly by if their people are harmed overseas.
There will be Civilization States and Poles that 'set the standards' for what counts as Sound Exercise of the Law & Justice... & this schema will involve that the rights of said people overseas (be they residents, students, citizens, migrant workers, etc) are respected.
This means (again) a zero tolerance policy for Pogroms, Ethnic Cleansing, 'Removal,' 'Redistribution' & other silliness and rebranded notions.
Russia is destroying Ukraine as we speak to demonstrate this reality.
Iran & proxies will do the same to 'Israel' likewise for similar reasons.
China meanwhile will do the same to Taiwan (if the Americans escalate).
The era of 'nations' is about to give way to the era of Civilization states & Empires. Nations will survive only if they respect this 'New World Order'... if you will.
Is it incredible that the Americans cannot produce tomahawks, a now obsolete platform. No, it's financialisation. It costs money to keep a production line and the people, so when the contract ends their employment ends, capital is written down and moved on. Now get this - plans that were from the seventies and eighties were probably dumped because it costs money to create an archive of records. And any computer storage would become obsolete and unreadable if not transferred to newer formats. And these are problems I know something about. Tech goes by that aphorism from the "Gumball Rally". "The first rule of Italian driving - what's behind me is not important".
Precisely.
The Productive Forces of the USA are long gone.
What we have now (in Qing Dynasty terms) are the Eunuchs scraping off the gold plating on the architecture & running off with their spoils, while everything implodes.
Japan, a US vassal also faces many hurdles, not least its totally financial mismanagement since the 1985 Plaza Accords. Japan has still got some innovation and productive capacity in place but without cheap energy faces the same problems as Germany, another US vassal state. I'm incredulous that Pindos think they can re-industrialise at the expense of their colonies. An exemplar is the TMC plant fiasco in Arizona with cost over runs and staffing problems (Pindos don't like hard work).
So let's say they US pulls up the drawbridge and creates a virtual "iron curtain" around its remaining satellite statelets. To me somewhat the reverse of the USSR with a bunch of suckling colonies depleting its resources, more a cannibal banquet with the US consuming its colonies.
Also, Europe has been under American occupation since 1945. Once we leave, they will regain their will, as it won't be artificially supressed by comprador politicians. If you think some Iranian militia somewhere will deter the French army.... in a France itself...
Then you are truly delusional.
Europe is occupied by the Empire of Lies precisely because they willingly (through their own volition & agency) chose to give it up long ago.
Nobody will die for War, P***, Usury & Materialism. These are the current pillars of the Modern Western World.
& Nobody will be engaging in Ethnic Cleansing once they realize that the 'society' they built will be decimated by the revenge & reprisal from *actual grassroots resistance forces*.
You are, of course, wrong. Both China and Russia have, in living memory, made war on internal populations in a way far less humane than just deporting illegal migrants and sending those without citizenship back. They don't care, and Iran doesn't have proxies in Europe, nor does it really care.
They will do nothing. Ironically, Europe could follow the Gulf Arab model, which is proven to be the best migration model out there. You think the Arabs will care? Lol. Lmao even.
Iran does not need to do anything:
There are Sub-state Actors from the Khawarij & related groups who would act if (say) a Mass Ethnic Cleansing of France or *insert European 'country' here* goes ahead & is given the stamp of approval.
In such a scenario, I have no doubt in my mind that WMDs would be used in revenge & reprisal once the Ethnic Cleansing commences & the death toll reaches the thousands.
Arab leaders don't have to do anything. They can keep sucking the tit of the CIA whilst Resistanhce forces do the heavy lifting in West Asia & beyond.
You are completely delusional. Deportation of false asylum seekers and illegal immigrants and quotas is how all civilized states act, including in the middle east. Typical Muslim nonsense- thinking that some group will set off a nuke in Paris for expelling all immigrants who got here in say, the last 15 years? Trust me, they wouldn't care a whit, because Europe used to have these same policies, and they didn't care then- and Russia currently has similar ones, and they don't care now.
Misinformed, arrogant, delusional. Typical.
There is a difference between Deportation & Ethnic Cleansing, one which 'Civilized States' of Today & Yesterday are aware of:
The former can be justified using appeals to International Law & related measures, while the latter cannot be. & even if people think that 'International Law' is a farce (& many do), nations & empires since time immemorial have sought to at least give *lip service* to these things, lest they become Pariahs who are surrounded on all sides & utterly destroyed by their neighbours.
Meanwhile, if you wish to think that Sub-State actors 'would NEVER dare do something like that' (by your tone it seems you are suggesting this)... I will simply tell you 'You are Incorrect, & are seriously underestimating them.'
These 'groups' (& in some cases, cells of 3-7 people) don't care about how Westerners underestimate them. If it comes down to it, they will have no issue with detonating (say) a 2 kiloton Dirty Bomb at the One World Trade Centre, should things deteriorate to the point where (say) American Muslims are being Ethnically Cleansed and thousands have been murdered as a result.
Addendum: 'Trust me' is not an argument. Never was, never will be.
I think the Islamic triumphalism by Ahnaf is both tasteless and baseless.
1. As horrible as the Israelis are, they have first and second strike nuclear capabilities, which means that direct, existential invasions of Israel likely aren't likely to happen. Israel is now learning that it can be conventionally deterred, but that's a long way from being destroyed. And while there are rootless cosmopolitan Israelis with the multiple passports and cash to pick up and leave, there are several million right wing Jews who will not leave, no matter what. The future of Palestinians will ultimately require some sort of negotiated settlement, and that's better for everyone.
2. Defense and deterrence arent the same thing as projecting power. Iran can't really project power, and cheap missiles and drones make anyone projecting power much harder. If the Europeans decide to remigrate all the illegal immigrants and false asylum claimants, there is nothing Iran or any other Muslim country can do about it, and frankly the flood of migrants is unbearable for the EU already. The best they could do would be to use oil prices as a weapon, but we've seen how that backfires with Russian sanctions.
3. The whole point of the multipolar world is allowing countries to set their own internal policies. Russia and China don't care to dictate internal policies in the EU- and Russia itself regularly deports large numbers of migrants. A return of nationalism will be that "they have to go back", or at best a Denmark style immigration regime.
1. Nukes are not what 'people think they are:'
'Israel' cannot use its Jerichos without being turned to glass in response by merely *conventional* capabilities (by Hezbollah & frens). We are not even factoring in Iran at this point for the time being.
Nukes are good defensive weapons against people using Nukes *on you*. They are not good at anything else; and Apartheid South Africa figured that out too late.
Yes, Many will 'stand and fight'... but the same was true for Rhodesia. Ultimately, if even 15-20% of your country flees and your starting population was less than 10 million, that means social implosion. The Islamic resistance know this, & aim for this outcome.
After they get said outcome, the negotiated settlement will be more favourable to the Palestinians inside, as well as outside 'Greater Palestine' (i.e. who number 10+ million).
2. Iran Projects power through Proxies. Deterrance meanwhile (as Scott Ritter and others note) is more about telling someone 'you will pay a price if you fight us'. Operation True Promise achieved the latter whilst the former is a continuous process which is active right now & it is slowly 'bleeding away' the productive forces of the Zionist enemy.
Sub-State actors already possess access to WMDs, so you are incorrect here. The Europeans also have neither the will, nor ability or readiness to do anything *even if* populists gained sufficient power & influence in the coming years.
Ultimately, Europe cannot do anything for the same reason the Baltics cannot 'remigrate' the Russians: They will pay a Heavy Price which will DOOM their societies.
3. Disagree. In the Muslim World, Multipolarity is viewed through the lens of Justice & Sound Exercise of law. Russians, Chinese, Indians & Muslims will not simply sit idly by if their people are harmed overseas.
There will be Civilization States and Poles that 'set the standards' for what counts as Sound Exercise of the Law & Justice... & this schema will involve that the rights of said people overseas (be they residents, students, citizens, migrant workers, etc) are respected.
This means (again) a zero tolerance policy for Pogroms, Ethnic Cleansing, 'Removal,' 'Redistribution' & other silliness and rebranded notions.
Russia is destroying Ukraine as we speak to demonstrate this reality.
Iran & proxies will do the same to 'Israel' likewise for similar reasons.
China meanwhile will do the same to Taiwan (if the Americans escalate).
The era of 'nations' is about to give way to the era of Civilization states & Empires. Nations will survive only if they respect this 'New World Order'... if you will.